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Post by LPL on Jul 28, 2011 11:10:05 GMT 1
Confirmed CAA scheduled flight stats for Liverpool in May 2011.
Pax total - 484134 (2011), 414725 (2010), 17% (diff)
Number of available seats by airline - EZY 311856, FR 297864, KLM 15200, Wizz 15840, flyBE 32448, Eastern ?, total 673208
Number of routes served - 64 (2011), 64 (2010), 0% (diff)
Breakdown of number of routes served in 2011 by airline - EZY 25, FR 41, KLM 1, Wizz 3, flyBE 2, Eastern 2
Number of flights scheduled in May 2011 - 4418
Note, I have presumed every flight scheduled departed/arrived and that no cancellations have been taken into account.
The Eastern routes of Aberdeen and Southampton have missing data, so they will not be accurate.
The Porto and Toulon routes should be looked at with suspicion as the numbers look to be out.
The Belfast City route figures are still skewed with having the effect of changing from FR 738's to the flyBE Dash's.
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Post by LPL on Jul 28, 2011 11:23:29 GMT 1
Route pax total increase/decrease, sorted with the biggest % increase first.
First figure is the May 2011 total, second figure is the May 2010 total and the third figure is the percentage difference.
SZCZECIN 2399 1123 114%
PORTO 4410 2321 90%
BARCELONA 15746 8405 87%
FARO 23291 14731 58%
BERLIN (SXF) 11689 7420 58%
TENERIFE (SOUTH) 5243 3336 57%
JERSEY 6906 4433 56%
BELFAST INT 36048 23172 56%
KNOCK 5440 3574 52%
CITY OF DERRY 6834 4641 47%
LANZAROTE 6553 4845 35%
LODZ 2779 2070 34%
CORK 9331 6987 34%
ISLE OF MAN 12288 9265 33%
DUBLIN 26494 20719 28%
CARCASSONNE 3720 2967 25%
PALMA 25373 20292 25%
LIMOGES 6132 4960 24%
MADRID 9995 8102 23%
MURCIA SAN JAVIER 9244 7665 21%
LISBON 4800 4029 19%
ALICANTE 29788 25241 18%
SEVILLE 2629 2228 18%
MALAGA 29194 25268 16%
OSLO (TORP) 4492 3912 15%
LAS PALMAS 2911 2564 14%
RIMINI 2307 2053 12%
GDANSK 5402 4861 11%
ROME (CIAMPINO) 4177 3810 10%
GENEVA 6713 6149 9%
PARIS (CDG) 7911 7377 7%
WROCLAW 3966 3710 7%
IBIZA 3972 3820 4%
NIMES 3394 3273 4%
AMSTERDAM 29735 29213 2%
BERGERAC 3150 3127 1%
FUERTEVENTURA 6006 6009 0%
STOCKHOLM (SKAVSTA) 2652 2710 -2%
NAPLES 4341 4514 -4%
NICE 8545 8972 -5%
MILAN (BERGAMO) 3541 3759 -6%
SHANNON 2726 2897 -6%
REUS 7477 8016 -7%
RIGA 3608 3976 -9%
KATOWICE 3911 4390 -11%
KAUNAS 2445 2880 -15%
SOUTHAMPTON 563 670 -16%
GERONA 7418 8902 -17%
BRATISLAVA 2870 3472 -17%
KRAKOW 9213 11748 -22%
ABERDEEN 678 882 -23%
WARSAW 3820 5014 -24%
POZNAN 2736 3844 -29%
PISA 2591 4641 -44%
BELFAST CITY 8297 16596 -50%
See also post #1.
Pax numbers for new routes flown in May 2011
BODRUM 2632
BRUSSELS 5351
GIBRALTAR 2729
KOS 2942
MALTA 2858
OSLO (RYGGE) 1617
RHODES 4935
TALLINN 2858
TOULON 318
Pax numbers for routes not flown in May 2011
AGADIR 2103
BREMEN 3199
BYDGOSZCZ 2531
DUBROVNIK 2839
GRANADA 223
PRAGUE 991
RZESZOW 2120
TRAPANI 1934
VENICE (TREVISO) 3230
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Post by LPL on Jul 28, 2011 11:27:07 GMT 1
Route load factor
PORTO 130%
KRAKOW 87%
KOS 86%
LAS PALMAS 86%
LISBON 85%
GERONA 85%
ROME (CIAMPINO) 85%
BRATISLAVA 84%
KATOWICE 84%
GDANSK 83%
PARIS (CDG) 82%
LODZ 82%
WARSAW 82%
TENERIFE (SOUTH) 82%
BARCELONA 81%
BODRUM 81%
IBIZA 81%
MALAGA 81%
WROCLAW 81%
POZNAN 80%
MALTA 79%
MURCIA SAN JAVIER 79%
MADRID 79%
RHODES 79%
PALMA 79%
NICE 78%
FUERTEVENTURA 78%
STOCKHOLM (SKAVSTA) 78%
LANZAROTE 78%
FARO 77%
NAPLES 77%
SEVILLE 77%
ALICANTE 77%
BERLIN (SXF) 76%
PISA 76%
CARCASSONNE 76%
RIGA 73%
REUS 73%
CITY OF DERRY 72%
MILAN (BERGAMO) 72%
KAUNAS 72%
AMSTERDAM 72%
JERSEY 71%
LIMOGES 71%
SZCZECIN 71%
GENEVA 69%
NIMES 69%
RIMINI 68%
GIBRALTAR 67%
DUBLIN 66%
TALLINN 65%
BERGERAC 64%
BRUSSELS 64%
CORK 62%
BELFAST INT 59%
BELFAST CITY 57%
SHANNON 55%
OSLO (TORP) 54%
KNOCK 50%
OSLO (RYGGE) 48%
ISLE OF MAN 46%
TOULON 9%
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Post by LPL on Jul 28, 2011 11:43:24 GMT 1
Load factors on routes served by one airline
easyJet
LISBON 85%
PARIS (CDG) 82%
BARCELONA 81%
BODRUM 81%
MALTA 79%
MADRID 79%
NICE 78%
NAPLES 77%
BERLIN (SXF) 76%
JERSEY 71%
GENEVA 69%
GIBRALTAR 67%
TALLINN 65%
BRUSSELS 64%
BELFAST INT 59%
average 74%
Ryanair
PORTO 130%
KOS 86%
LAS PALMAS 86%
GERONA 85%
ROME (CIAMPINO) 85%
BRATISLAVA 84%
LODZ 82%
TENERIFE (SOUTH) 82%
IBIZA 81%
WROCLAW 81%
POZNAN 80%
MURCIA SAN JAVIER 79%
STOCKHOLM (SKAVSTA) 78%
SEVILLE 77%
PISA 76%
CARCASSONNE 76%
RIGA 73%
REUS 73%
CITY OF DERRY 72%
MILAN (BERGAMO) 72%
KAUNAS 72%
LIMOGES 71%
SZCZECIN 71%
NIMES 69%
RIMINI 68%
DUBLIN 66%
BERGERAC 64%
CORK 62%
SHANNON 55%
OSLO (TORP) 54%
KNOCK 50%
OSLO (RYGGE) 48%
TOULON 9%
average 73%
Wizz
KATOWICE 84%
GDANSK 83%
WARSAW 82%
average 83%
flyBE
BELFAST CITY 57%
Load factors on routes served by more than one airline
KRAKOW 87%
MALAGA 81%
RHODES 79%
PALMA 79%
FUERTEVENTURA 78%
LANZAROTE 78%
FARO 77%
ALICANTE 77%
AMSTERDAM 72%
ISLE OF MAN 46%
As a guide the airline network load factors for May: easyJet = 87%, Ryanair = 82% and KLM (Euro region) = 75%
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steh
Full Member
Posts: 145
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Post by steh on Jul 28, 2011 15:52:44 GMT 1
Only 7 of ryanairs routes and none of easyjets as high as or higher than the network average load. I know load isnt everything there's yield per passenger to be considered, but it makes me worried that there'll be at best no expansion at worst plenty of routes being chopped in the future.
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Post by viscount on Jul 28, 2011 16:31:39 GMT 1
As a note of caution, it could be the average load factor figures come from different sources. LPL works out the number of passengers (CAA figures) on each route, then calculates the timetabled number of flights (without taking into account cancellations or extras), divides one into the other to produce an unofficial load factor. The quoted average load factor system-wide for an airline, I'm assuming have a different source. Certainly Ryanair, on their website, publish system-wide load factors, but the figures are based on passengers booking and paid, not those actually carried (which could be as much as several percentage points lower, due to no-shows especially on 'sale' seats). I'm uncertain if 'steh' observations are as absolute as stated.
There are dangers in statistics. The above tables number-crunched by 'LPL' are great for showing trends (best performing, underperforming, improving, declining routes etc), but I would be beware of close comparison of figures from different sources.
Good work 'LPL', the Oporto and Toulon figures show that not all statistics, even from the CAA, are reliable and make sense when put under the microscope! Also, consider that airlines don't expect new routes to jump to 85%+ every month immediately on launch, although having said that it is some of the 'mature' routes eg Geneva that are struggling in load factor terms due to increasing competition.
Interesting and much appreciated tables though.
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Post by LPL on Jul 28, 2011 17:55:42 GMT 1
As a note of caution, it could be the average load factor figures come from different sources. LPL works out the number of passengers (CAA figures) on each route, then calculates the timetabled number of flights (without taking into account cancellations or extras), divides one into the other to produce an unofficial load factor. Its is very unofficial regards to load factors. What I do is to gather the schedules from the 09/27 mag, try and find out what aircraft are flying the different sectors and see if they tally with the notes on the NWAN virtual mag. I then use the figures as published by the CAA and put all that into an Excel spreadsheet. Sometimes there are obvious errors (see Porto and Toulon) and I have asked in the past for observations, on here, as to frequency of routes/start dates etc but I have received only one reply to those requests! The quoted average load factor system-wide for an airline, I'm assuming have a different source. They come from the airlines own press releases. There are dangers in statistics. The above tables number-crunched by 'LPL' are great for showing trends (best performing, underperforming, improving, declining routes etc), but I would be beware of close comparison of figures from different sources. Correct, they are just for a guide. I dont think I can get more accurate as, apart from the CAA stats, the other sources are 'unofficial'. Also, consider that airlines don't expect new routes to jump to 85%+ every month immediately on launch, although having said that it is some of the 'mature' routes eg Geneva that are struggling in load factor terms due to increasing competition. Its noticeable though that the newish longer routes to the Canaries by both EZY and FR look to be doing very well. Interesting and much appreciated tables though. I thank you. If there is any more info someone wants then just post and ask. |
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